Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.84%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Banfield win it was 1-0 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
