Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Sarmiento and Velez Sarsfield.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 46.87%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.
