Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.47%) and 2-1 (7.3%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (12.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banfield would win this match.
