Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
