Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.