Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
