MX23RW : Thursday, May 18 02:50:12| >> :120:12141:12141:
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 5, 2022 at 7pm UK
Park Hall Stadium
New Saints
1 - 0
Linfield
Brobbel (57')
Marriott (25'), Williams (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Finlayson (32'), Clarke (53'), Shields (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between The New Saints and Linfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Coleraine
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership

We said: The New Saints 1-1 Linfield

Neither side is likely to give too much away in the first leg of this tie, so it could be a close-fought affair at Park Hall. Nonetheless, the visitors possess enough attacking threat to strike at least once - setting themselves up well for the return in Belfast next Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawLinfield
45.46% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 23.77% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 30.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.34% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.47% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)41.52% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.07% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)63.92% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.48% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)18.51% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.25% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)49.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.05% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)25.94% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.05% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)60.95% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 45.46%
    Linfield 30.77%
    Draw 23.77%
The New SaintsDrawLinfield
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 45.46%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.8% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 6.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 30.77%

How you voted: New Saints vs Linfield

The New Saints
55.9%
Draw
32.2%
Linfield
11.9%
59
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City35274492316185
2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351812563313266
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341771066452158
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

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