Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
