Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
