Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
