Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
