Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 41%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Pisa win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
