Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
