Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 45.14%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 26.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.