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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Peterborough United |
41.88% ( 0.15) | 25.4% ( 0.02) | 32.72% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.84% ( -0.16) | 48.15% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.69% ( -0.15) | 70.31% ( 0.14) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.13% ( 0) | 22.87% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.38% ( 0.01) | 56.62% ( -0.01) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.04% ( -0.19) | 27.96% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.41% ( -0.24) | 63.59% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Peterborough United |
1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.88% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 41 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 84 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 40 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 83 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 40 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 82 |
4 | Barnsley | 40 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 69 | 37 | 32 | 78 |
5 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 41 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 70 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 40 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 68 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 41 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 65 |
9 | Portsmouth | 41 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 63 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 41 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 62 | 53 | 9 | 55 |
11 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 40 | 16 | 7 | 17 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 55 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 53 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 40 | 11 | 19 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 52 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 51 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 41 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 50 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 46 |
17 | Port Vale | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 46 |
18 | Burton Albion | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 74 | -23 | 45 |
19 | MK Dons | 41 | 11 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 58 | -20 | 42 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 40 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 40 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 40 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 38 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 40 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 37 |
23 | Morecambe | 42 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 38 | 71 | -33 | 35 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 41 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 29 | 76 | -47 | 26 |
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