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Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK at St James Park
Exeter
3 - 2
Peterborough
Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Dieng (55'), Sparkes (65'), Brown (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Peterborough United

Caldwell is taking charge of his first home game so will get his players right up for it. Posh are poor away from home, but should still have enough quality to at least equal their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
41.88% (0.152 0.15) 25.4% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 32.72% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Both teams to score 55.56% (-0.141 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.84% (-0.157 -0.16)48.15% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69% (-0.145 -0.15)70.31% (0.143 0.14)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.87% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)56.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)27.96% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (-0.242 -0.24)63.59% (0.239 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 41.88%
    Peterborough United 32.72%
    Draw 25.4%
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.96% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 32.72%

How you voted: Exeter vs Peterborough

Exeter City
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Peterborough United
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
Mar 5, 2011 3pm
Sep 18, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds412412571323984
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth40258770442683
3Ipswich TownIpswich402313479324782
4Barnsley402461069373278
5Peterborough UnitedPeterborough412241571482370
6Bolton WanderersBolton4019111054322268
7Derby CountyDerby4119111162422068
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe411981455421365
9Portsmouth4116151055451063
10Charlton AthleticCharlton411413146253955
11Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury40167174852-455
12Exeter CityExeter411411165955453
13Lincoln CityLincoln401119103941-252
14Bristol Rovers39149165361-851
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood411214154545050
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham411210193552-1746
17Port Vale411210194060-2046
18Burton Albion39129185174-2345
19MK Dons41119213858-2042
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd40913184050-1040
21Accrington StanleyAccrington40911203366-3338
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge40107233361-2837
23Morecambe42714213871-3335
24Forest Green RoversForest Green4168272976-4726

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