Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.