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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.21%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 22.52% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.95%) and 1-0 (7.79%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
56.21% ( 0.13) | 21.27% ( -0.08) | 22.52% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 61.44% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.36% ( 0.31) | 36.65% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.2% ( 0.34) | 58.8% ( -0.34) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87% ( 0.14) | 13% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.48% ( 0.29) | 39.52% ( -0.28) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.62% ( 0.13) | 29.38% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.64% ( 0.16) | 65.37% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.95% Total : 56.21% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 22.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |