Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 42.72%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 26.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (7.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.94%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
