Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.62%) and 2-1 (6.99%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
