Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47.53%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.05%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 1-0 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
