Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest Sochi win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
