Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 51.95%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
25.43% | 22.62% | 51.95% |
Both teams to score 60.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.07% | 39.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.71% | 62.29% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.16% | 28.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.3% | 64.7% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.51% | 15.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.63% | 44.37% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
2-1 @ 6.44% 1-0 @ 5.55% 2-0 @ 3.45% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.39% Total : 25.43% | 1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 4.47% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-1 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 7.77% 1-3 @ 6.01% 0-3 @ 4.83% 2-3 @ 3.73% 1-4 @ 2.8% 0-4 @ 2.25% 2-4 @ 1.74% 1-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.78% Total : 51.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 29 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 69 | 17 | 52 | 74 |
2 | Porto | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 70 |
3 | Braga | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 24 | 38 | 68 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 61 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 48 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 41 |
8 | Vizela | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 39 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 39 |
10 | ChavesChaves | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 37 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 35 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 29 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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