Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 62.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.