Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 65.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 13.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.