Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Belenenses |
59.2% | 24.02% | 16.78% |
Both teams to score 43.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.94% | 56.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.86% | 77.14% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.25% | 18.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.86% | 50.14% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.28% | 46.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.73% | 82.27% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Belenenses |
1-0 @ 14.66% 2-0 @ 12.27% 2-1 @ 9.34% 3-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 5.21% 4-0 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.98% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.88% Total : 59.2% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 3.55% Other @ 0.55% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.67% 1-2 @ 4.25% 0-2 @ 2.54% 1-3 @ 1.08% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.35% Total : 16.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 7 | 30 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 29 |
3 | Braga | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 28 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 25 |
5 | Casa Pia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 23 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
7 | PortimonensePortimonense | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 19 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
9 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 19 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 18 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Vizela | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 15 |
14 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 13 |
15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
16 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Maritimo | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 6 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 2 |
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