Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 11.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.56%) and 0-3 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
