Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Braga had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Porto |
33% | 27.22% | 39.77% |
Both teams to score 49.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.42% | 55.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.25% | 76.75% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.53% | 31.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.15% | 67.85% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.67% | 27.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.22% | 62.78% |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 9.94% 2-1 @ 7.46% 2-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.9% Total : 33% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.6% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 11.15% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 7.24% 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Braga | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 19 |
3 | Porto | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 16 |
4 | PortimonensePortimonense | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 15 |
5 | BoavistaBoavista | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 15 |
6 | Casa Pia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
7 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
8 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 10 |
9 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 |
14 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
15 | Vizela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 |
16 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 4 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 1 |
18 | Maritimo | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 22 | -18 | 0 |
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