Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
64.13% | 21.52% | 14.35% |
Both teams to score 45.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.27% | 50.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.37% | 72.63% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.84% | 15.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.24% | 43.75% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.13% | 46.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.61% | 82.39% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 13.4% 2-0 @ 12.64% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 6.03% 4-0 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.28% 5-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.08% Total : 64.12% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 3.63% Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.52% | 0-1 @ 5.38% 1-2 @ 3.85% 0-2 @ 2.04% 1-3 @ 0.97% 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.19% Total : 14.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
2 | Porto | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 48 |
3 | Braga | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 46 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 38 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 33 |
6 | Casa Pia | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 30 |
8 | Vizela | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
9 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 26 |
11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 24 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 |
16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Maritimo | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 13 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 12 |
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