Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Maritimo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.9%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 6.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.53%) and 3-0 (12.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.