Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.03) 
