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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Burnley logo
Brentford
2 - 0
Burnley
Toney (85', 90+4' pen.)
Toney (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tarkowski (89')
Collins (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Brentford 1-1 Burnley

A closely-fought contest is set to be played out at the Brentford Community Stadium, though both sides will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points. Burnley are unbeaten in their last three away games, including two in London against Arsenal and Crystal Palace, and we can see them securing at least a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawBurnley
46.85%26.96%26.2%
Both teams to score 47.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.68%57.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.85%78.15%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53%24.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07%58.93%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44%37.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.66%74.34%
Score Analysis
    Brentford 46.85%
    Burnley 26.2%
    Draw 26.96%
BrentfordDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 12.94%
2-0 @ 9.11%
2-1 @ 8.92%
3-0 @ 4.27%
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-1 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 46.85%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9%
1-2 @ 6.2%
0-2 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 26.2%

How you voted: Brentford vs Burnley

Brentford
44.8%
Draw
25.7%
Burnley
29.5%
183
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Burnley
3-1
Brentford
Wood (4'), Lowton (32'), Cornet (36')
McNeil (83')
Ghoddos (79')
Ghoddos (72')
Jan 15, 2016 7.45pm
Brentford
1-3
Burnley
Judge (57')
Arfield (12'), Barton (30'), Boyd (39')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97021971221
2Arsenal96301881021
3Liverpool96212091120
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs86201881020
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle95132491516
6Aston Villa85121912716
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton95132218416
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd95041113-215
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham84221512314
10Chelsea9333139412
11Crystal Palace9333711-412
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves93241115-411
13Fulham8323813-511
14Brentford92431412210
15Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest92431012-210
16Everton9216914-57
17Luton TownLuton9126817-95
18Burnley9117723-164
19Bournemouth9036620-143
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd9018724-171

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