Brentford's stellar start to their maiden Premier League campaign will continue when they travel to Burnley for the first time since August 2015 on Saturday afternoon.
Many would have expected this to have been a relegation battle at the beginning of the campaign, yet the Bees could go 11 points clear of Burnley with a win.
Match preview
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Coming from behind to take a point against Southampton last time out was undoubtedly one of Burnley's best results of the season, with the Lancashire club having struggled so far.
Maxwel Cornet's second-half goal gave Burnley only their fourth point of a lacklustre campaign and only their second on the road.
Whilst the Clarets may have escaped their sixth defeat of the season, their wait for a victory has now stretched to nine matches in the league, with Sean Dyche's side in the midst of the longest winless run across the top four tiers of English football.
Failing to score in seven of their previous 12 games, finding the back of the net had been the issue for Burnley prior to Saturday's draw, yet it was their defensive frailties that cost them at St Mary's.
Cornet's opener was cancelled out by goals either side of the break from Tino Livramento and Armando Broja, meaning Burnley have now dropped a league high of 12 points from winning positions this season.
One place Burnley have enjoyed some winning success this season is the EFL Cup, yet Lucas Moura's second-half goal denied the Clarets a place in the quarter-finals for the first time as a top-flight club since 1975-76.
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Having registered just two clean sheets in the last 12 matches across all competitions, keeping an in-form Brentford attack quiet could prove a difficult task for Burnley's under-pressure defence.
Unlike the Clarets, Brentford have had no issues in scoring goals this season, netting in six of their nine Premier League encounters so far.
Such was Brentford's start to the campaign, they had maintained a position in the top half of the table since opening day, only dropping out for the first time after last weekend's defeat at home to Leicester City.
In similar fashion to their opponents on Saturday, Brentford came from behind to equalise, yet a late lapse in concentration cost them a point, as James Maddison's goal 16 minutes from time secured a Foxes win.
Their slump would not last long though, as a midweek victory over Stoke City saw the Bees progress to back-to-back League Cup quarter-finals for the first time in their history – a statement of how far the London side have come.
Thomas Frank will be keen to see his side continue to defy the odds of history when they travel to Turf Moor on Saturday, as they are winless in matches away to the Lancashire club since December 1996.
Granted, the pair's differing form has meant their paths have not often crossed, but Burnley can take a crumb of comfort from the fact they will head into the weekend's clash unbeaten in their previous six encounters.
A first win of any kind against Burnley in the 21st century will be the target for Brentford, as they look to pile even more misery on a seemingly relegation-destined Clarets side.
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Team News
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With last Saturday's brace, Cornet moved clear at the top of Burnley's top goalscorer charts this season and is currently the only player in their squad to have netted more than once.
Having come off the bench in the defeat to Spurs, expect the Ivorian to be fresh for the visit of the Bees and do not be surprised to see him sting once more.
After missing out on the summer's European Championships through injury, the ever-dependable Nick Pope will be keen to pick up his second consecutive clean sheet at Turf Moor and impress ahead of the final international break of the year.
The Clarets' defence saw off the efforts of Norwich City in their last Premier League home match, but they will most likely be unable to call upon Ben Mee, who is currently isolating with COVID-19.
Dale Stephens is the only other injury worry for an otherwise full strength Burnley squad, meaning Dyche will no doubt turn to one-time England international James Tarkowski to martial the backline.
Unlike Burnley, Brentford's injury list is a painful read for Frank, who could be without eight first-team players for the trip up North.
Most notably David Raya, who was injured in the Bees' defeat against Leicester, meaning a first Premier League start of the season awaits fellow Spanish goalkeeper Alvaro Fernandez.
Another worrying injury concern is Bryan Mbeumo, who was not involved in any capacity at all against Stoke in a bid to keep him fit for the weekend.
Ethan Pinnock and Shandon Baptiste will be big blows if absent, whilst Yoane Wissa, Vitaly Janelt, Mads Bech Sorensen and Joshua Da Silva are unlikely to make the trip.
That means a big chunk of Brentford's hopes will once again fall on the ever-strengthening shoulders of Ivan Toney, whose midweek goal against Stoke ended a run of four games without finding the net.
Burnley possible starting lineup:
Pope; Lowton, Collins, Tarkowski, Taylor; McNeil, Westwood, Cork, Cornet; Rodriguez, Wood
Brentford possible starting lineup:
Fernandez; Jorgensen, Jansson, Ajer; Canos, Onyeka, Norgaard, Jensen, Henry; Toney, Forss
We say: Burnley 1-2 Brentford
Each game is already creeping into must-win territory for Burnley, especially those against recently promoted sides.
Whilst they may share a division for now, Brentford already look leagues apart from the Clarets, making a first win in over 20 years against Burnley a likely scenario this weekend.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 42.89%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 28.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
