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Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK at Vicarage Road
Watford
1 - 2
Burnley
Tarkowski (8' og.)
Kucka (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cork (83'), Brownhill (86')
Tarkowski (48'), Collins (90+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Watford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Watford 1-2 Burnley

Finding the back of the net at the Etihad should give Watford the belief that they can make the net ripple at least once in a game with so much at stake, but a revitalised Burnley are sure to take advantage of the Hornets' ongoing defensive woes. It has been nothing but defeat after defeat for Watford in front of their own fans recently, and while Hodgson will rally his troops as best he can, their fate should be virtually sealed as Burnley boost their own hopes of survival. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
WatfordDrawBurnley
34.45%26.49%39.06%
Both teams to score 52.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57%52.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89%74.11%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04%28.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15%64.85%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74%26.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63%61.36%
Score Analysis
    Watford 34.45%
    Burnley 39.05%
    Draw 26.49%
WatfordDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 9.42%
2-1 @ 7.81%
2-0 @ 5.84%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34.45%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 8.43%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 3.76%
0-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 39.05%

How you voted: Watford vs Burnley

Watford
19.3%
Draw
18.2%
Burnley
62.5%
176
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 6pm
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Aug 19, 2018 1.30pm
Burnley
1-3
Watford
Tarkowski (6')
Ward (53')
Gray (3'), Deeney (48'), Hughes (51')
Hughes (41'), Janmaat (90')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal21163246182851
2Manchester CityMan City22153456223448
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd23144538281046
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle221011135132241
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs2312384235739
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton21105639281135
7Fulham2310583430435
8Brentford2281043629734
9Liverpool219573628832
10Chelsea228772322131
11Aston Villa2284102634-828
12Crystal Palace226792030-1025
13Leicester CityLeicester2273123638-224
14Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2266101737-2024
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2265111731-1423
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2255121927-820
17Leeds UnitedLeeds2247112838-1019
18Everton2246121630-1418
19Bournemouth2246122044-2418
20Southampton2243151840-2215

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