Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
20 | Norwich City | 38 | -61 | 22 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Burnley |
34.45% | 26.49% | 39.06% |
Both teams to score 52.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.57% | 52.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.89% | 74.11% |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.04% | 28.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.15% | 64.85% |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.74% | 26.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.63% | 61.36% |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.45% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.6% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 46 | 18 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 56 | 22 | 34 | 48 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 46 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 35 | 13 | 22 | 41 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 39 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 35 |
7 | Fulham | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 35 |
8 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 34 |
9 | Liverpool | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
10 | Chelsea | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 31 |
11 | Aston Villa | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 25 |
13 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 24 |
14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 24 |
15 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 23 |
16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 20 |
17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 19 |
18 | Everton | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 18 |
19 | Bournemouth | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 18 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 15 |
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