Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 15.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.26%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.