Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for West Ham United Under-21s had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest West Ham United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.