Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.