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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Orlando City | 14 | -3 | 21 |
6 | FC Cincinnati | 14 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Atlanta United | 13 | 3 | 16 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | New York Red Bulls | 14 | 7 | 23 |
3 | CF Montreal | 14 | 4 | 23 |
4 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 0 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | CF Montreal |
36.48% | 26.34% | 37.18% |
Both teams to score 53.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.38% | 51.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.59% | 73.41% |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.66% | 27.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.21% | 62.79% |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.07% | 26.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.74% | 62.26% |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | CF Montreal |
1-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.99% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 27 |
2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
3 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Orlando City | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
15 | Toronto | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 22 |
3 | Dallas | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 22 |
4 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |