We said: Marseille 3-1 Clermont
With several new potential absentees to cope without and a morale-sapping loss to try to overcome, the odds are stacked against Clermont heading to the Orange Velodrome.
Sampaoli may be forced into some changes depending on how many tired legs report for training, but with enviable depth and Milik enjoying a free-scoring streak up top, Marseille ought to prevail comfortably.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 15.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
