Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Monaco |
39.19% | 25.93% | 34.88% |
Both teams to score 54.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.01% | 49.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.03% | 71.97% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.94% | 25.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.26% | 59.74% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.49% | 27.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.98% | 63.02% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 9.54% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 6.6% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.19% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 3.42% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 47 |
2 | Lens | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 45 |
3 | Marseille | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 38 |
5 | Rennes | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 37 |
6 | Lorient | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Lille | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
8 | Clermont | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 28 |
9 | Lyon | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 25 |
10 | Nice | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 25 |
11 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
12 | Toulouse | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 23 |
13 | NantesNantes | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 21 |
14 | Troyes | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 19 |
15 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 17 |
16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Brest | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
18 | Ajaccio | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 34 | -18 | 15 |
19 | Auxerre | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 41 | -25 | 13 |
20 | Angers | 19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 41 | -24 | 8 |
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