Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
