Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
