Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 36.41%. A win for Reims had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Reims |
36.41% | 28.65% | 34.94% |
Both teams to score 45.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.39% | 60.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.29% | 80.7% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.2% | 31.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.77% | 68.23% |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.25% | 32.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.69% | 69.3% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.41% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.63% | 0-1 @ 11.62% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 79 | 35 | 44 | 78 |
2 | Lens | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 75 |
3 | Marseille | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 64 |
5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 41 | 19 | 59 |
6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 56 |
8 | Nice | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 51 |
9 | Lorient | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 51 |
10 | Reims | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 50 |
11 | Clermont | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 50 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 43 |
13 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 42 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 35 |
15 | Brest | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 34 |
17 | NantesNantes | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 32 |
18 | Ajaccio | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 61 | -39 | 23 |
19 | Troyes | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 22 |
R | Angers | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 28 | 74 | -46 | 14 |
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