Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Marseille in this match.
