Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 55.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Lens had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Lens |
55.23% | 23.09% | 21.68% |
Both teams to score 53.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.98% | 46.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.67% | 68.32% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.48% | 16.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.73% | 46.27% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.6% | 35.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.84% | 72.16% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.48% 3-1 @ 5.91% 3-0 @ 5.69% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-0 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-1 @ 0.96% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.23% Total : 55.22% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 5.85% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.07% 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 3.15% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.94% Total : 21.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 20 | 35 | 54 |
2 | Marseille | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 49 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 47 |
4 | Lens | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 46 |
5 | Lille | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 41 |
6 | Rennes | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 40 |
7 | Nice | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 37 |
8 | Lorient | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Reims | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 33 |
10 | Lyon | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 32 |
11 | Toulouse | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 32 |
12 | Clermont | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 30 |
13 | NantesNantes | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 28 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 23 |
15 | Brest | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 20 |
16 | Troyes | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 19 |
17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 18 |
18 | Ajaccio | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 18 |
19 | Auxerre | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 47 | -28 | 15 |
20 | Angers | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 48 | -29 | 10 |
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