Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
