Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Lens had a probability of 10.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-3 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Lens win it was 2-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
10.32% | 15.28% | 74.4% |
Both teams to score 54.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.63% | 32.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46% | 54% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.43% | 41.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.94% | 78.06% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.62% | 7.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.39% | 26.61% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 3.08% 1-0 @ 2.69% 2-0 @ 1.18% 3-2 @ 1.18% 3-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.29% Total : 10.32% | 1-1 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 4.02% 0-0 @ 3.07% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.28% | 0-2 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-3 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 7.95% 0-4 @ 5.91% 1-4 @ 5.18% 2-3 @ 3.49% 0-5 @ 3.08% 1-5 @ 2.7% 2-4 @ 2.28% 0-6 @ 1.34% 2-5 @ 1.19% 1-6 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.5% Total : 74.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 73 | 30 | 43 | 72 |
2 | Lens | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
3 | Marseille | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 61 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 63 | 42 | 21 | 58 |
5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 53 |
6 | Lille | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 52 |
7 | Lyon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 50 |
8 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 47 |
9 | Nice | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 45 |
10 | Lorient | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 45 |
11 | Clermont | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 31 |
15 | Auxerre | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 29 |
16 | Brest | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 28 |
17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 26 |
18 | Troyes | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 21 |
19 | Ajaccio | 30 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 55 | -34 | 21 |
20 | Angers | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 14 |
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