MX23RW : Saturday, April 15 23:07:28| >> :120:7555:7555:
[monks data]
Sep 10, 2020 at 8pm UK at Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens
1 - 0
PSG
Ganago (57')
Doucoure (44'), Sotoca (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sarabia (38'), Bernat (78')

Preview: Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Ligue 1 encounter between Lens and Paris Saint-Germain, including team news and injury news.

Champions League runners-up Paris Saint-Germain return to Ligue 1 action on Thursday evening as they square off against Lens at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.

After earning promotion from the second tier, the home side suffered a 2-1 defeat at Nice in their opening fixture of the season.


Match preview

PSG boss Thomas Tuchel on October 18, 2019© Reuters

When PSG take to the pitch on Thursday, just over two-and-a-half weeks would have passed since they suffered a 1-0 defeat at the hands of Bayern Munich in the Champions League final.

With the game arguably the biggest in their history, there is the realistic possibility of that disappointment lingering heading into the new campaign.

However, PSG have already been boosted by many of their rivals already dropping points this season, effectively providing them with some leeway for error as they bid to get back up to top gear.

Tuchel has been left searching for a solution to the increasing amount of positive coronavirus cases which are emerging in his squad, most recently for Kylian Mbappe who faces the likelihood of missing the next four games.

Although a postponement cannot be ruled out at this stage, Tuchel will hope that having to call upon some of his fringe players will have a galvanising effect on the squad.

While Lens directly benefitted from French football being curtailed early, they face a battle to get up to speed against stronger opposition.

Having tested current leaders Nice in their opening fixture, boss Franck Haise would have wanted to build on that performance as soon as possible.

However, PSG's European progress led to their encounter with the champions being set back a couple of weeks, leaving Lens to participate in friendlies to maintain their match sharpness.

With the break in action being followed by two games in three days, the second against Lorient, Haise has decisions to make regarding the fitness of his players as the club look forward to their first home contest of the season.

Lens Ligue 1 form: L

Paris Saint-Germain form (all competitions): WWWWL


Team News

Paris Saint-Germain forward Kylian Mbappe pictured on August 22, 2020© Reuters

Mbappe and Neymar head a list of PSG players who will play no part of the game on Thursday night due to coronavirus issues.

Keylor Navas, Marquinhos, Leandro Paredes, Angel Di Maria and Mauro Icardi have also tested positive over the past 10 days.

With Thiago Silva having left for Chelsea, Tuchel will select a much-changed team from the one which lined up against Bayern.

Given the shortage of attacking players, PSG could line up in a 3-4-2-1 formation headed by Jese Rodriguez or Arnaud Kalimuendo.

As far as Lens are concerned, Haise may name the same XI which pushed Nice all the way in their first competitive fixture of the season.

Former Chelsea youngster Gael Kakuta, now on the 12th club of his career, netted on his debut.

Lens possible starting lineup:
Leca; Gradit, Bade, Medina; Michelin, Cahuzac, Doucoure, Boura; Kakuta; Sotoca, Ganago

Paris Saint-Germain possible starting lineup:
Bulka; Kehrer, Kimpembe, Diallo; Dagba, Herrera, Gueye, Bernat; Draxler; Sarabia; Kalimuendo


SM words green background

We say: Lens 0-3 Paris Saint-Germain

While a number of factors are currently hindering the visitors, we still expect a comfortable win for the champions. Although Lens will be eager to impress, a lack of competitive game time is not ideal ahead of facing the champions.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting that both teams will score (BTTS - yes) in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.BTTS Yes:data

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Lens had a probability of 10.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-3 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Lens win it was 2-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.


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Robert Lewandowski celebrates scoring for Bayern Munich on June 20, 2020
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG31233573304372
2Lens31189451252663
3Marseille30187554292561
4MonacoMonaco30177663422158
5Rennes311651051331853
6Lille30157854381652
7Lyon31148949341550
8Reims31111464032847
9Nice301112738281045
10Lorient3012994240245
11Clermont30117123141-1040
12Toulouse31115154754-738
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier30114154650-437
14NantesNantes30613113242-1031
15Auxerre3078152751-2429
16Brest30610143448-1428
17StrasbourgStrasbourg30511143852-1426
18Troyes3049173864-2621
19Ajaccio3063212155-3421
20Angers3035222364-4114

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