Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queretaro would win this match.
