Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
