Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
